Climate
$760,000 Vol · Closes Jan 31, 2027Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
52%Yes chance
Outcomes
Yes
52%52¢
No
48%48¢
Rules
Resolves YES if 2026 sets a new global mean surface temperature record per NASA GISS or NOAA.
Condition:
0x48d5a85eafac75970376e65351304a9276089258ea1f2efa92d82749fb203222Recent activity
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